Brazil is projected to produce a record 6.5 billion bushels of soybeans in the 2025-2026 crop season, while farm margins should decline to their worst level in almost two decades. Depressed soybean prices, increased production costs and weak port premiums have compressed profitability for Brazilian farmers. The situation could lead to a slowdown in soybean-acreage expansion in Brazil, which has been increasing year after year since the early 2000s. In this article we analyze production costs, revenues and profits for high-technology soybean production in Brazil. We also present the latest official projections for the harvest currently underway and discuss the implications of the changing economic environment for the global soybean market.
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Michael Langemeier
Joana Colussi
Michael Langemeier is the director of the Purdue University-Center for Commercial Agriculture and an agricultural economist with Purdue University. Joana Colussi is an assistant professor in the Purdue University-Department of Agricultural Economics. Visit ag.purdue.edu for more information.





